分析日期: 2025-11-10 22:35:01
現在日期:

Stock 股票

Options 期權

Liz Peek is great on Maria Bartiromo. She really gets it. Thank you Liz!
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: PASS

  • 理由:

呢單帖文純粹係特朗普對媒體評論員Liz Peek嘅讚揚,內容十分淺薄,無涉及任何具體政策、經濟議題或者公司動向。市場反應微乎其微,無明顯消息刺激任何股票或行業。Fox Corporation(FOXA)作為Liz Peek所屬媒體母公司,股價亦保持穩定無變動,無利好跡象。綜合研究與市場數據顯示,短期(1-3日)內無明顯價格波動預期。

  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 政治不確定性偶爾可能放大輕微波動,但機率細。

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: PASS

  • 理由:

帖文缺乏任何具方向性或市場敏感信息,無法支持明確的期權策略。無論看漲CALL還是看跌PUT,均無風險/收益比明顯優勢。 值得留意避免因無料消息而草率進場。

  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 隨機市場波動增大損失風險。

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體市場觀察優先度:

完全PASS,呢單帖文唔帶來任何實質市場機會,冇必要做多做空或期權操作。


整體信心水平:

低,因為內容冇深度,無市場刺激,股價無變動跡象。


主要風險監控:

雖然帖文本身冇料,但政治氛圍有時會令微小聲音放大,投資者宜留意宏觀政治風險與市場整體氛圍。


市場展望:

講真,呢單嘢真係唔會帶來乜大新聞,純粹係特朗普喺媒體關係上搞搞氣氛,無乜實際內容。你話Liz Peek好勁?佢真係識嘢都好,但特朗普呢個讚揚太過表面,冇政策深度,市場根本唔會理佢。媒體股穩定到不得了,冇乜波動,大家繼續睇住大局,焦點落喺真正有料嘅政策動態同經濟數據先係王道。呢啲小插曲就當茶餘飯後聽聽,轉眼就過,唔使太認真。


總之,呢單嘢真係唔講得笑,等下一單先有得炒。

分析日期: 2025-11-10 22:46:51
現在日期:

Stock 股票

XOM
正面

Options 期權

XOM
上行
最佳時機
目標: $120
Jan 31, 2026
RT @realDonaldTrumpThey ripped the hell out of the Rainforest of Brazil to build a four lane highway for Environmentalists to travel. It’s become a big scandal!
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: XOM - 正面

  • 理由:雖然帖文本身屬於政治諷刺,但揭示巴西環保政策矛盾,可能引發市場對傳統能源重新評估。XOM作為能源巨頭,財務穩健且有穩定股息,配合全球能源需求持續增長,短期內股價有機會受益於避險需求及油價波動。現價約117.45美元,技術面與基本面均支持短線買入。
  • 信心水平:中等
  • 關鍵風險:全球經濟放緩可能減少能源需求;環保政策若急轉向將帶來壓力;地緣政治局勢不穩定。

Top 2: CVX - 正面

  • 理由:雪佛龍CVX同樣受惠於能源市場穩定,近期股價微升,估值合理,受益於類似XOM的能源需求趨勢。短期內受環境政策矛盾影響較小,適合配置以分散風險。
  • 信心水平:中等
  • 關鍵風險:環保政策收緊、油價劇烈波動以及宏觀經濟衰退風險。

Top 3: PASS

  • 其他相關股票如巴西ETF(EWZ)或綠能股表現受限,且受貿易緊張及政策不確定性影響較大,風險偏高,暫不建議介入。

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: XOM 上行 $120 exp Jan 31, 2026

  • 理由:基於XOM股價穩定上升趨勢與潛在避險需求,120美元行使價具合理的上行空間。期權到期日充足,提供中期(1-4週至2個月)投資機會。
  • 信心水平:中等
  • 關鍵風險**:油價大幅下跌或政策突然轉向可能導致期權價值受損。

Top 2: PASS

  • 其他期權標的未見明顯催化劑或短期波動機會,故不推薦。

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體市場觀察優先級

綜合兩套研究與市場數據,巴西雨林公路醜聞雖具政治炒作意味,但對市場直接衝擊有限。能源巨頭XOM與CVX因全球能源需求及政策矛盾,短期內呈現防守及適度上升潛力,故推薦以XOM為首,搭配CVX作分散。期權方面,XOM CALL具合理風險報酬比,值得中期關注。其他相關資產因風險及不確定性偏高,暫緩進場。


整體信心水平

基於當前價格走勢與政策環境,信心水平維持中等,因帖文本質屬政治諷刺,無實質政策變動支持強烈行情,僅適合穩健操作。


關鍵風險監控

密切留意美巴貿易關係變化、COP30後續環保政策調整及全球經濟走勢。若環保政策急劇收緊或經濟顯著放緩,能源股及相關期權均面臨壓力。


市場展望

老友,呢單巴西雨林公路嘅醜聞,雖然聽落好似好勁,但其實市場就係覺得「問題唔大」,轉眼之間波動唔算多。能源股XOM同CVX就好似穩陣嘅老兵,依然坐定定守住陣腳,短期內有啲小升幅,但唔會爆升。呢啲消息多數係政治口水戰,市場反應就係慢慢消化,唔會即刻炒上炒落。期權入場風險高,宜揀啲有實力嘅標的去慢慢部署,唔好做蛇王追短炒。總括嚟講,呢啲環保矛盾消息係投資者嘅提醒,提醒大家環境政策唔係咁簡單,能源股仲有戲,大家不如穩穩陣陣,慢慢睇住先。轉眼,機會嚟咗,你就知啦!

分析日期: 2025-11-10 23:00:27
現在日期:

Stock 股票

PBR
正面

Options 期權

PBR
上行
最佳時機
目標: $13
Jan 16, 2026
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5547437-luna-endorses-trump-nobel/
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: PBR - 正面

  • 理由分析:PBR(巴西石油)作為拉丁美洲能源巨頭,基本面相當穩健,最近Q2業績強勁,毛利率高企達36.1%。特朗普獲得諾貝爾和平獎得主公開致敬,雖然政治意味濃厚,但反映其在拉丁美洲政策上的影響力獲得肯定,這有助改善該地區投資氛圍。PBR今日跌幅有限,股價相對韌性強,估值吸引,具備中期(1-4週)反彈潛力。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 關鍵風險:委內瑞拉及拉美政治局勢不穩,可能影響油價及區域投資信心;全球能源價格波動仍是不確定因素。

Top 2: XOM - 中性

  • 理由分析:埃克森美孚(XOM)今日股價有所下跌,反映整體能源板塊調整。帖文對特朗普外交政策的肯定,對XOM短期提振有限,無明顯新利好。 值得留意維持持有,觀察後續政治及能源市場走向,短期(1-3日)內股價可能保持震盪。
  • 信心水平:中低
  • 關鍵風險:能源價格受全球經濟及地緣政治影響波動;政策層面無新刺激。

Top 3: EC - 中性

  • 理由分析:哥倫比亞石油(EC)屬拉丁美洲能源股,今日跌幅較大,顯示市場對該地區政治風險有所擔憂。儘管基本面有吸引力,但短期波動較大, 值得留意觀望,等待更佳入場時機。中期(1-4週)仍有潛力,視地緣政治發展而定。
  • 信心水平:低
  • 關鍵風險:拉美地緣政治波動及油價不確定性。

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: PBR 上行 $13 exp Jan 16, 2026

  • 理由分析:PBR的看漲期權反映對其中期走勢看好。特朗普政策肯定營造積極政治氛圍,估值吸引且技術面顯示支撐,1月中到期期權為合理布局時間。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 關鍵風險:地緣政治突變可能導致股價波動,期權價值受影響。

Top 2: XOM 上行 $118 exp Dec 20, 2025

  • 理由分析:XOM近期股價調整提供低吸機會,CALL期權合適捕捉短期反彈,12月中到期時間充裕。能源市場若有利好消息或價格回升,期權價值有提升空間。
  • 信心水平:中低
  • 關鍵風險:能源市場不確定性大,短期價格波動風險高。

Top 3: EC 上行 $10 exp Feb 21, 2026

  • 理由分析:EC期權適合長期布局,反映對拉丁美洲能源股長期價值的期待。政治環境若改善,股價有望回升,但需更長時間消化風險。
  • 信心水平:低
  • 關鍵風險**:拉美政治不穩及能源價格波動可能拖累股價。

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體投資優先級:

優先推薦PBR相關股票與期權,因其基本面穩健且受惠於特朗普拉丁美洲政策肯定,具備中期投資價值。XOM及EC則建議持有觀望,適合謹慎投資者作波段操作或長期佈局。


整體信心水平:

中度信心,主要基於政治讚揚的間接市場影響及基本面分析。期權策略宜保守,重點放在中長期機會。


關鍵風險監控:

需密切關注拉丁美洲地緣政治局勢變化,特別是委內瑞拉及鄰近國家動態,以及全球能源價格波動對相關股票的影響。


市場展望:

講真,呢單帖文雖然有啲政治味濃,對特朗普外交政策嘅肯定令拉美市場氣氛有啲微妙提升,但股市反應就唔算大,因為無直接政策落實或者新利好消息。能源股今日仲係輕微回調,反映投資者都係保守睇待,唔係話見到就即刻入貨。PBR呢隻股相對有料到,估值吸引又係拉美頭牌,值得中期留意。XOM同EC就係短線波動大啲,唔好急住追,等佢哋穩定啲先。整體講,呢單嘢係政治信號多過財經機會,啱啱好可以做定啲策略布局,唔好太心急。大家記住,地緣政治變數仲多,油價唔穩,投資要有心理準備,唔好當係無風險賭局。轉眼睇多幾日,等有更實際消息出嚟先出手,先至係王道。

分析日期: 2025-11-10 23:13:30
現在日期:

Stock 股票

DJT
正面

Options 期權

DJT
上行
最佳時機
目標: $15
2025
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: DJT - 正面

  • 理由:帖文聚焦特朗普司法勝利,強化Truth Social平台活躍度,過去類似事件均推動DJT股價短期上漲。最新價格約13.465美元,今日漲幅超過2.8%,顯示市場已反映該政治利好。預期未來1至3天內,隨政治熱度延續,DJT仍有短線上漲空間。
  • 信心水平:中等
  • 主要風險:政治爭議激化可能引發股價波動,需留意新聞動態及市場情緒轉變。

Top 2: PLTR - 正面

  • 理由:司法改革及政府對執法科技需求增強,Palantir作為AI監控技術領頭羊,已於近日反彈逾6.7%。Halligan司法改革成功有助提升政府合約信心,短期內(1-3日)股價有望延續上漲動能。
  • 信心水平:中等
  • 主要風險:政治環境不穩及內部司法阻力仍存,可能影響政策執行力度,造成市場波動。

Top 3: LHX - 中性

  • 理由:國防板塊受司法改革間接支撐,洛克希德馬丁股價穩健,無明顯催化劑短線表現平穩, 值得留意持有觀望,關注中期(1-4週)國防預算動態。
  • 信心水平:低
  • 主要風險:國防開支政策變動及地緣政治風險可能影響股價。

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: DJT 上行 $15 exp 2025-12-20

  • 理由:政治消息推動股價短期上漲,CALL期權提供槓桿利潤機會,行使價合理,期限覆蓋近期可能的政治熱點和市場反應期。
  • 信心水平:中等
  • 主要風險:若政治局勢突變或市場情緒反轉,期權價值可能迅速下跌。

Top 2: PLTR 上行 $200 exp 2026-01-31

  • 理由:看好執法科技政府合約需求長期增長,PLTR具成長潛力,選擇價外期權可利用杠杆捕捉股價上升。期權到期日足夠長,支持中期投資策略。
  • 信心水平:中等
  • 主要風險:市場波動及政策落實風險,可能導致股價未達期望。

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體推薦重點:聚焦政治利好推動的媒體與執法科技股短線機會

此次帖文雖然屬於政治事件性質,但特朗普司法勝利強化Truth Social活躍度,直接利好DJT股票短期表現。同時,司法改革帶動執法科技需求,Palantir受惠明顯。國防股如LHX則處於觀望階段,無明顯催化劑。


整體信心水平:中等偏高,適合短中期布局

考慮到帖文帶來的政治熱點及配套市場反應, 值得留意以短期(1-3日)捕捉DJT及PLTR股價波動為主,配合中期觀察國防股態勢。


關鍵風險須密切監控:政治動態及司法系統內部鬥爭

政治議題波動大,任何突發事件或司法改革阻力都可能造成市場反轉,投資者應保持警覺,合理控制風險敞口。


市場展望:政治勝利消息令市場短期氣氛活躍

聽講呢單司法勝利對特朗普支持者嚟講,真係一劑強心針,Truth Social平台人氣即刻爆燈,DJT股價轉眼就有反應。執法科技公司PLTR都因為政府加強監控需求而有料到,股價有啲抖氣回升。國防股LHX就似蛇王般穩定,短期冇太大動作,等多啲政策清晰先講得準。總括嚟講呢個政治消息無得頂,短線炒股嘅朋友不妨留意DJT同PLTR,長期就要睇司法改革可唔可以真正落實,留意新聞變化,唔好做邊個大隻蛤乸隨街跳咁嘅買賣。整體氣氛穩定,大家記住風險管理先係王道。

分析日期: 2025-11-10 23:24:31
現在日期:

Stock 股票

CXW
正面

Options 期權

CXW
上行
最佳時機
目標: $18
2025
DHS sees biggest jump in public approval among federal agencies: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5546975-trump-administration-immigration-crackdown/
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: CXW - 正面

  • 理由分析: CXW作為私營監獄業龍頭,因特朗普政府持續推進嚴格移民執法政策,拘留需求增加,短期股價已有明顯反應(今日漲幅5.46%),市場情緒明顯偏好相關股。該股受益於政府合約擴大,短期(1-3日)內有望持續上漲。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 若政策變動不及預期或政治阻力加劇,拘留需求可能回落,導致股價波動。

Top 2: PLTR - 正面

  • 理由分析: Palantir作為DHS重要的AI監控技術供應商,直接受惠於移民及安全政策加碼。近期股價強勢上揚(漲7.13%),並且第二季營收增長強勁,顯示成長動能穩健。政策支持下,短期至中期(1-4週)有較好增長潛力。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 技術整合風險及估值較高可能限制短線漲幅。

Top 3: RTX - 中性

  • 理由分析: Raytheon作為邊境安全系統主要承包商,擁有長期合約和穩定現金流,股價表現穩健(漲0.35%),但未見明顯短線催化因素,適合持有觀望,等待政策進展明朗。
  • 信心水平: 中等
  • 主要風險: 政策變化及政府預算調整可能影響未來合約執行。

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: CXW 上行 $18 exp 2025-12-19

  • 理由分析: 基於移民執法強化預期,CXW股價短期強勢,看漲期權捕捉價格上漲機會。行使價適中,距離現價合理,期限充裕。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 政策變數及市場整體波動可能影響期權價值。

Top 2: PLTR 上行 $195 exp 2025-12-19

  • 理由分析: Palantir受惠DHS政策持續加碼,股價有突破態勢,該看漲期權適合參與中短期漲勢。
  • 信心水平: 中高
  • 主要風險: 高估值風險及技術整合問題可能導致股價波動。

Top 3: RTX 上行 $180 exp 2026-01-16**

  • 理由分析: RTX長期合約保障收入穩定,邊境安全政策支持,期權行使價合理,適合中期布局。
  • 信心水平: 中等
  • 主要風險: 政策風險及技術進展不及預期可能影響股價。

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體建議優先投資私營監獄及國防科技股

基於DHS最新民望大幅提升及特朗普政府持續推行嚴格移民政策,短期內私營監獄股(CXW)和國防科技股(PLTR)有明顯利好,尤其CXW已率先反映市場。RTX則因合約穩定適合持有。期權方面,看漲CXW及PLTR具吸引力,RTX期權可作中期防守布局。


整體信心水平偏高,風險需警惕政策變動

政策持續推進帶來正面動能,但政治兩極化及可能的政策調整仍是主要不確定因素。此外,部分科技股估值偏高需要謹慎應對。


關鍵風險包括政策變化及市場波動

如果移民政策調整方向或力度不如預期,相關股價可能迅速回落。此外,政府預算或政治局勢波動亦可能帶來波動風險。


市場展望:

講真,依家Trump分享國土安全部認可度大跳升,市場短期反應好明顯,特別係私營監獄股同國防技術相關公司,大家見到CXW同PLTR股價轉眼飆升,呢啲就係市場即時反映政策支持力度嘅真係料。雖然政治環境兩極化勁嚴重,但依家共和黨支持度高,對呢啲安全與移民執法相關企業係好消息。當然啦,呢啲政策消息唔會日日有,投資者要留意政策走向同政府執行力,唔好以為一升就永遠升,唔穩定因素都不少。總括嚟講,呢單嘢短期內有炒作空間,長遠就睇政策能否持續落實啦,大家留意住CXW同PLTR,可能轉眼就有新機會出現。

分析日期: 2025-11-10 23:41:28
現在日期:

Stock 股票

SPY
正面

Options 期權

SPY
上行
最佳時機
目標: $680
Nov 14, 2025
I just received the key to the City of Miami from Mayor Francis Suarez. Such a Great Honor — Thank you!
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: SPY - 正面

  • 理由說明: Trump獲得邁阿密市鑰匙雖屬象徵性政治事件,但背後反映邁阿密持續維持商業友好環境,尤其與紐約政治走向形成鮮明對比,為投資者提供轉移資金的誘因。南佛羅里達地產市場活躍,國際大資金如沙特主權基金持續流入,對整體市場情緒形成正面推動。SPY作為市場指數ETF,能較全面反映此類政治經濟利好,短線(1-3日)有望受惠。
  • 信心水平:中等
  • 主要風險: 事件本質屬象徵,無硬性政策支持,若宏觀經濟或政治風險加劇,短期市場波動可能抵銷利好。

Top 2: PLTR - 正面

  • 理由說明: Palantir作為執法科技龍頭,受惠於邁阿密及南佛羅里達推動安全投資環境,市場對執法科技需求提升有明顯回應。今日股價大漲8.68%,顯示市場已有強烈認同,短期內延續動能可期。
  • 信心水平:中等
  • 主要風險: 股價近期已大幅上漲,短期調整風險存在,且科技股整體波動較大。

Top 3: RTX - 中性

  • 理由說明: 雷神國防(RTX)受惠於安全環境加強,但目前股價已反映部分利好, 值得留意持有觀望,待後續政策或市場信號更明朗再作決策。
  • 信心水平:低
  • 主要風險: 國防股受宏觀政策和國際局勢影響大,短期股價波動風險不容忽視。

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: SPY 上行 $680 exp Nov 14, 2025

  • 理由說明: 政治穩定信號與邁阿密投資環境利好預期推動市場,SPY短期走勢強勁,選擇接近價內CALL期權把握短線上漲機會合理。
  • 信心水平:中等
  • 主要風險: 期權時間窗口短,若市場出現突發負面消息,期權價值可能迅速縮水。

Top 2: PLTR 上行 $195 exp Nov 14, 2025

  • 理由說明: PLTR股價近期表現強勢,期權操作可放大短期收益潛力,尤其在邁阿密安全投資環境持續受重視之下。
  • 信心水平:中等
  • 主要風險: 高波動性期權風險大,股價若回調期權價值將承壓。

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體市場觀察優先度:

本次Trump獲邁阿密市鑰匙事件屬政治象徵,雖缺乏直接政策落地,但隱含邁阿密作為商業與投資友好城市的強烈訊號,尤其在與紐約政治對比下形成投資轉向的誘因。整體市場及執法科技板塊短期受惠可能較明顯, 值得留意以SPY及PLTR為主抓短線機會,RTX則持有觀望。


整體信心水平:

中等。政治象徵事件帶來情緒層面利好,但缺乏實質政策支持,需警惕宏觀變數帶來的反覆。


關鍵風險監控:

需留意宏觀經濟不確定性、地緣政治風險及市場整體波動,尤其期權操作須嚴控風險。若後續無實質經濟利好跟進,市場熱度可能快速降溫。


市場展望:

講真,呢單Trump攞邁阿密市鑰匙嘅事,表面睇係政治儀式,但背後其實透露咗邁阿密同紐約嘅競爭格局越嚟越明顯。依家大家都知邁阿密係美國南部嘅商業避風港,加密貨幣、地產、國際投資都齊齊落場,特別係沙特基金咁大手筆入場,呢啲都係有料到嘅信號。短期內市場可能會有啲熱鬧,尤其係SPY同執法科技類股。但大家心知肚明,呢啲政治象徵多數係炒情緒,真金白銀嘅政策落地未必即刻跟得上,所以唔好太大期望轉眼賺大錢,穩陣啲部署先係王道。講到底,呢啲消息就係市場小炒,識得睇情緒就好,唔好俾佢哄得太勁,揸穩波段等機會先係聰明做法。


總括而言,今次唔係邊有咁大隻蛤乸隨街跳嘅爆炸消息,但係背景嘅投資環境確實有啲潛力,短期市場可留意SPY同PLTR的節奏,期權可小注搏反彈,唔好太心急。靜觀其變,撈實有料到嘅機會先好手痕。

分析日期: 2025-11-08 02:51:43
現在日期:

Stock 股票

XOM
正面

Options 期權

XOM
上行
最佳時機
目標: $115
Dec 20, 2025
If Republicans kill the Filibuster, they sail to Victory for many years to come. If they don’t, DISASTER waiting to happen!
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: XOM - 正面

  • 理由說明: XOM(埃克森美孚)在當前政治環境下繼續受惠於特朗普推動嘅能源政策,今日股價升2.17%反映市場對能源股嘅信心未減。政府停擺導致經濟不確定性增加,能源需求相對穩定且具防守性,XOM估值合理,是防禦性資產首選。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 政治僵局若持續惡化可能拖累整體市場情緒,能源價格波動亦為潛在風險。

Top 2: RTX - 正面

  • 理由說明: 雷神(RTX)受益於邊境安全及國防政策支持,股價今日穩健上升0.76%,顯示國防板塊在政治不確定時期仍具韌性。特朗普對強化安全政策的推動,令RTX具備中期支撐。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 政治風險高度集中,若共和黨內部政策分歧加劇,國防支出可能面臨不確定性。

Top 3: PASS

  • 其他板塊如製造業(CAT)及整體市場(SPY)受政治僵局影響較大,短期表現疲弱, 值得留意暫觀望,避免追入。

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: XOM 上行 $115 exp Dec 20, 2025

  • 理由說明: XOM期權價格反映市場對未來能源政策持續支持嘅預期,CALL選擇權價格合理,短期內股價有望延續強勢。行使價115美元與現價116.98美元接近,具備實值優勢。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 政治僵局若突然緩解,市場避險需求下降,可能壓抑能源股波動。

Top 2: SPY 下行 $670 exp Dec 20, 2025

  • 理由說明: 整體市場(SPY)因政府停擺和政治不確定性持續承壓,近期股價下跌0.73%反映弱勢。PUT選擇權作為避險工具,有助捕捉短期市場回調風險。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 若政治局勢快速改善或市場出現反彈,PUT價值可能受損。

Top 3: PASS

  • 目前無其他期權具備足夠信心及合理價格, 值得留意暫不作推薦。

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體市場觀察優先級:

以能源股XOM及國防股RTX為首選買入標的,配合XOM CALL及SPY PUT選擇權作為短中期策略,兼顧增長及避險。其他板塊因政治僵局影響較大, 值得留意保持觀望。


整體信心水平:

中等信心,因政治局勢高度不穩,短期波動風險依然存在,但能源及國防板塊具防守及政策支持,值得關注。


關鍵風險監控:

必須密切留意共和黨內部對廢除filibuster意願與政治談判進展,政府停擺若持續加劇,對經濟及市場情緒構成壓力。能源價格波動及國際地緣政治亦為不容忽視之風險。


市場展望:

講真,依家呢場政治大戲真係幾刺激,Trump直接話唔除阻撓議事就等於災難,好似要攞命咁推緊呢個議題,但共和黨內部又唔係咁易就答應,搞到政府停擺變歷史最長,市場都唔敢放鬆。投資者依家好似踩緊煞車,唔知邊個先係蛇王,拖住整個市場行。能源股因為有政策撐,變成避風港,XOM今日升得好勁,RTX國防股都算穩陣啲。整體市場就仲係跌住,SPY跌咗,投資者心理揸緊啲避險工具好合理。呢排就算你想搏反彈都要小心啲,因為政治風險未解,轉眼一個消息就可以玩大晒。總括講,大家要有耐性,睇住局勢明朗先好大手出擊,唔好邊有咁大隻蛤乸隨街跳。


今日嘅內幕就分享到呢度,大家繼續留意政治同市場風向,唔好畀呢單嘢真係影響心情,穩陣先係王道。

分析日期: 2025-11-07 16:51:46
現在日期:

Stock 股票

BA
正面

Options 期權

BA
上行
最佳時機
目標: $200
Dec 19, 2025
I am thrilled to announce an incredible Trade and Economic Deal between the United States and Uzbekistan. Over the next three years, Uzbekistan will be purchasing and investing almost $35 Billion Dollars and, in the next 10 years, over $100 Billion Dollars, in key American Sectors, including Critical Minerals, Aviation, Automotive Parts, Infrastructure, Agriculture, Energy & Chemicals, Information Technology, and others. I want to thank Uzbekistan’s Highly Respected President, Shavkat Mirziyoyev. We look forward to a long and productive relationship between our Countries!
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: BA - 正面

  • 理由:波音直接受惠烏茲別克航空大額飛機訂單,訂單實質且具體,短期內(1-3個月)股價有望因訂單落地及市場情緒推升而上漲5-10%。此外,中亞市場開拓帶來長遠增長動能,航空業復甦趨勢仍然強勁。
  • 信心水平:高
  • 主要風險:地緣政治不穩可能延緩訂單交付,產業供應鏈波動亦需留意。

Top 2: XOM - 正面

  • 理由:能源與化工領域將因烏茲別克長期投資及出口需求增強而受益,美國能源出口合作加深,XOM財務穩健且估值合理,長期(1-3年)有穩定增長潛力。
  • 信心水平:中高
  • 主要風險:全球能源市場價格波動及地緣政治風險可能影響收益。

Top 3: PANW - 正面

  • 理由:網絡安全與AI合作協議顯示美國科技公司在中亞市場的國際化擴展,PANW具備高增長特點,數字化轉型需求強勁,適合中期(1-4週)投資布局。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 主要風險:科技股波動性大,國際合作推進速度可能受政策影響。

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: BA 上行 $200 exp Dec 19, 2025

  • 理由:波音航空訂單利好明顯,股價有望突破關鍵阻力位,短期技術面樂觀,適合看漲期權操作。
  • 信心水平:中高
  • 主要風險:市場波動或地緣政治因素導致短線回調。

Top 2: PANW 上行 $220 exp Jan 16, 2026

  • 理由:AI與網絡安全合作長期看好,科技股整體趨勢向上,期權價格具備上升潛力。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 主要風險:科技板塊受宏觀經濟影響較大,價格波動風險。

Top 3: CAT 上行 $580 exp Dec 19, 2025

  • 理由:基建項目推動重型設備銷售,股價短期有反彈機會,期權成本較低,適合風險承受較高投資者。
  • 信心水平:中低
  • 主要風險:基建項目執行進度不確定,市場情緒波動影響股價。

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體推薦重點

烏茲別克與美國達成巨額貿易與投資協議,涵蓋多個戰略性產業,特別是航空、能源及科技領域。基於實質訂單和合作協議, 市場值得留意買入波音(BA)作為首選,因其訂單明確且短期利好突出。其次是埃克森美孚(XOM),能源領域長期受益明顯。再者,網絡安全巨頭Palo Alto Networks(PANW)因AI合作具備增長潛力,值得中期關注。期權方面優先選擇波音看漲期權,配合股票的正面基本面。


整體信心水平

基於協議規模、行業多元化以及市場現有反應,整體信心屬中高水平。波音因訂單具體且近期股價已有上漲,信心最高。XOM和PANW則基於長期投資和產業趨勢,信心水平中至中高。


關鍵風險監控

需密切關注烏茲別克及中亞地緣政治變動,可能影響投資執行及合作進度。供應鏈不確定性及全球經濟波動亦可能影響股價表現。科技股特別受宏觀政策和市場情緒影響,波動性較大。


市場展望

呢單貿易協議真係有料到,唔止係數字大咁簡單,仲係美國開拓中亞市場嘅一大步。短期波音股價見到訂單落實,市場情緒轉旺,轉眼間有得炒一炒。能源股XOM喺長線上有穩定需求,受到經濟復甦同地緣政治棋局影響,風險同機會並存。科技板塊PANW就係呢個新興數字合作中嘅贏家,雖然波動大啲,但長遠睇都係好勁嘅增長引擎。整體嚟講,今次協議帶來嘅投資熱潮,唔單止推動相關股票短線上揚,仲有助美國產業鏈多元化同全球競爭力提升。英雄所見略同,機會唔等人,啱晒想搵實質紅利嘅朋友。只要留意地緣風險同政策變數,呢單嘢真係值得重點部署。

分析日期: 2025-11-07 17:02:18
現在日期:

Stock 股票

CVX
正面

Options 期權

CVX
上行
最佳時機
目標: $155
2025
I just held a great call between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, of Israel, and President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, of Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan is the first Country of my Second Term to join the Abraham Accords, the first of many. This is a major step forward in building bridges across the World. Today, more Nations are lining up to embrace Peace and Prosperity through my Abraham Accords. We will soon announce a Signing Ceremony to make it official, and there are many more Countries trying to join this club of STRENGTH. So much more to come in uniting Countries for Stability and Growth — Real progress, real results. BLESSED ARE THE PEACEMAKERS!
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: CVX - 正面

  • 理由說明: 哈薩克斯坦正式加入亞伯拉罕協議,對其能源出口及國際合作意義重大。CVX作為全球能源巨頭,將可能受惠於能源貿易增長及地緣政治穩定帶來的供應鏈改善。近期股價穩健,基本面健康,預期短期(1-3週)有明顯拉升空間,尤其在簽署儀式前後市場情緒料會轉強。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 全球油價波動、地緣政治突變可能影響能源需求;協議實質合作細節尚待落實。

Top 2: XOM - 正面

  • 理由說明: 類似CVX,XOM受益於哈薩克斯坦能源出口前景改善及中東和平帶來的市場信心提升。股價近期小幅上升,適合中期持有(1-4個月),看好能源需求穩定回升。美國能源巨頭地位穩固,長線業務拓展具潛力。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 中亞地緣政治風險、全球能源價格波動、政策不確定性。

Top 3: RTX - 中性

  • 理由說明: 亞伯拉罕協議擴展有助於中東及中亞地區安全局勢改善,利好防務承包商。RTX作為龍頭國防企業,長期受惠於區域安全合作及美國國防預算,但短期尚無明顯催化,故建議觀望,長期(3-6個月)可關注。
  • 信心水平: 中低
  • 主要風險: 防務合同不確定性、地區安全局勢突變。

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: CVX 上行 $155 exp 2025-12-20

  • 理由說明: 看好近期能源需求及地緣政治穩定推升CVX股價,$155行使價合理,適合短期積極投資。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 油價短期波動、簽署儀式延期或市場反應平淡。

Top 2: XOM 上行 $120 exp 2026-01-31

  • 理由說明: 中期看好XOM因能源合作增強帶來股價上升空間,CALL期權可利用未來數月行情。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 能源價格不穩、外部政策影響。

Top 3: PASS

  • 由於LMT PUT期權風險及到期時間不符當前日期,且防務股短期無催化,暫不建議期權操作。

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體推薦優先順序: 重點買入CVX,配合XOM持有,防務股RTX採取觀望策略。期權操作則聚焦CVX及XOM CALL,適合把握短中期能源行情。


整體信心水平: 中至高,基於外交突破帶來的地緣政治穩定性及能源貿易利好,市場情緒料有短期催化,但需警惕油價及地緣風險。


關鍵風險監控: 需密切留意地緣政治突變(如中東或中亞衝突升溫)、油價劇烈波動及協議落實進度。簽署儀式延遲或無新國家加入將削弱市場預期。


市場展望: 呢單外交突破真係有料到,哈薩克斯坦加入亞伯拉罕協議,唔單止係外交上嘅大動作,更係能源市場嘅一個信號。大家唔好睇少呢啲和平進程,因為背後代表住地緣政治嘅穩定,有助油價企穩同貿易恢復。短期內,能源股肯定有啲炒作空間,CVX同XOM最有機會轉眼攞到甜頭。防務股就要睇得耐啲,因為和平雖然好,但安全合作未必即時見效。總之,呢單嘢係市場入面嘅一個秘密武器,唔好錯過,緊貼消息,靈活部署先係王道。江山易改,本性難移,能源股的強勢依然會繼續發揮佢嘅威力。

分析日期: 2025-11-06 01:34:58
現在日期:

Stock 股票

XOM
正面

Options 期權

XOM
上行
最佳時機
目標: $115
2026
Happy Anniversary! On this day, November 5th, one year ago, we had one of the Greatest Presidential Victories in History — Such an Honor to represent our Country. Our Economy is BOOMING, and Costs are coming way down. Affordability is our goal. Love to the American People! PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: XOM - 正面

  • 理由:特朗普強調美國經濟「BOOMING」及成本下降,能源需求持續穩健,ExxonMobil受益於政策支持和油價中高位的基本面穩定。股價近期走勢穩健,符合中期(1-4週)增長預期,且過去多次分析驗證XOM為政策驅動下的優質防守標的。
  • 信心水平:高
  • 主要風險:油價劇烈波動、地緣政治突發事件、政策執行延遲

Top 2: CAT - 正面

  • 理由:經濟繁榮與基建需求推動重型設備製造業強勁反彈,CAT股價近期大幅上升3.37%,反映市場對基建投資的信心。特朗普經濟正面訊號將延續對製造業的利好,適合中短期(1-3週)趨勢交易。
  • 信心水平:中高
  • 主要風險:政策落地不及預期、宏觀經濟波動影響基建需求

Top 3: TGT - 正面

  • 理由:Target受惠於成本下降及消費者信心回暖,股價近期強勢反彈2%以上,短期內有明顯反彈動能。消費板塊受特朗普「負擔能力」政策支持,適合把握短期(1-2週)反彈機會。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 主要風險:消費者支出波動、通脹壓力反覆

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: XOM 上行 $115 exp 2026-01-31

  • 理由:配合中期能源需求增長與政策支持,認購期權可放大股價上漲收益,行使價115美元合理,適合1-3個月中期操作。
  • 信心水平:中高
  • 主要風險:油價波動風險、時間價值損耗

Top 2: CAT 上行 $580 exp 2025-12-31

  • 理由:基建需求帶動製造業股價上升,CAT看漲期權捕捉短中期利好,行使價580美元具合理上漲空間,適合12月底到期的短中期操作。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 主要風險:宏觀經濟波動、基建政策落地延遲

Top 3: TGT 上行 $90 exp 2026-01-31**

  • 理由:Target短期反彈明顯,看漲期權適合參與消費回暖行情,1月到期給予足夠時間捕捉股價上行。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 主要風險:消費市場波動、季節性因素影響

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體市場觀察優先度:

以能源股ExxonMobil(XOM)為首選,結合基建強勢的CAT及消費回暖的TGT,形成「能源+基建+消費」三角布局。這三隻股票均受特朗普正面經濟訊號及政策支持推動,且近期股價表現已反映市場信心。期權策略則配合中短期時間窗口,利用認購期權放大收益,風險可控。


整體信心水平:

XOM信心最高,屬高信心級別;CAT及TGT屬中高及中等信心水平。期權建議同樣以中高及中等信心為主,兼顧收益與風險。


關鍵風險須監控:

  • 油價及能源市場波動仍是最大不確定因素,尤其地緣政治可能導致價格劇烈波動。
  • 政府政策落實速度不一,基建及消費刺激政策可能受限於政治僵局。
  • 消費市場受通膨及經濟基本面影響波動較大,需密切關注數據變化。

市場展望:

你知唔知,特朗普呢單貼文就係用勝利周年紀念同「經濟繁榮、成本降低」嘅正面訊號,為市場注入一支強心針。依家能源股XOM穩住基本盤,基建龍頭CAT跟住經濟起飛,消費股Target因為負擔能力政策短線爆發,呢啲都係今時今日市場最夠料嘅板塊。雖然政治同經濟波動唔少,但呢啲波動正正係高手入場嘅機會,唔使怕短期震盪,穩紮穩打先係王道。期權配合用得好,賺幅可以放大,等你轉眼捉住行情。江山易改,本性難移,能源同基建依然係政策核心,今次要玩就玩精選,唔好亂咁撈。細水長流,低吸高拋,穩賺唔蝕先係贏家!

分析日期: 2025-11-06 01:43:04
現在日期:

Stock 股票

XOM
正面

Options 期權

XOM
上行
最佳時機
目標: $115
2026
https://www.youtube.com/live/Bo8bMllxsDg?si=xO7KgV1wiz0jENDA [Music] Ladies and gentlemen, the President of the United States [Music] [Applause] Thank you. Thank you very much. That was quite a formal entrance. I thought we were just going to sit down and talk a little bit. We talk about exactly one year ago we had that big beautiful victory. Exactly one year. And last night it was uh you know not expected to be a victory. It was very Democrat areas but I I don't think it was good for Republicans. I don't think it was good. I'm not sure it was good for anybody. But we had uh an interesting evening and we learned a lot and we're going to talk about that and I'll say a few remarks and then after that I'll ask the press to leave. Uh the press has been very very nice to us the last couple of months. They were great to us in terms of the foreign visits with China, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, and they were actually terrific. So, I want to thank you for that. I'm sure you'll get back to your normal ways soon, but uh but we did a great job over in China, and we've done a great job in turning off wars. We stopped eight wars, eight wars, and we have one to go, as you probably know, and that'll get stopped also. But we've done a great job. So, it's a really it's really been an honor to do it and I did it with many of the people in this room. Every one of you I know and every one of you I like. I like our leaders. I like everybody. But I thought we'd have a discussion after the press leaves about uh what last night represented and what we should do about it and also about the shutdown and how that relates to last night. I think uh if you read the pollsters, the shutdown was a big factor. Negative for the Republicans and that was a big factor and they say that I wasn't on the ballot was the the biggest factor, but I don't know about that, but I was honored that they said that. And uh I just want to thank everybody for being here and a very special thanks to Vice President J Vance who's doing a terrific job. JD, thank you very much. [Applause] as well as the Senate leadership team that has been working very hard, working really, I will tell you, nobody's working any harder representing the American people, including Senator John Thun. John, thank you. Great job. [Applause] Senator John Baraso. John, thank you very much. Senator Tom Cotton, wherever you may be. Tom, thank you. Thank you, Tom. Thank you. S Senator Shelley Moore Capitol, who's been very involved. Thank you, Shelly. Senator James Langford from one of my favorite states. 77 out of 77. I always say 77 out of 77. Reagan was 56. That was the record. We got se We got every one of them. Thank you, James. and a fantastic friend of mine and an incredible advocate during the election a year ago, Tim Scott. Thank you, Tim. [Applause] So, as you know, we are in the midst of a disastrous Democratcreated government shutdown, and it is Democrat created, but I don't think they're getting really the blame that they should. That's now officially the longest shutdown in American history. the uh Democrat radicals in the Senate have shown zero interest in reopening the government and uh I don't think they'll act so soon. A lot of people disagree. I've been saying for the last 30 days, we've had four or five different points. Yes, sir. They're going to get it right now. We should have it done in a day. I've heard that about four times. I heard it after Kings. You know, they said I was a king and I heard it after Kings. I heard it after a couple of other moments in time. And I said, "No, I don't believe so." Oh, and now I heard it's after the election. I don't believe so. I think they will. I think they're kamicazi pilots. I just got back from Japan. I talked about the kamicazi pilots. I think these guys are kamicazi. They'll take down the country if they have to. So, I don't think so. Millions of Americans are going to be without SNAP benefits. And I I will say about SNAP benefits. So, when I was president, we had seven billion dollars worth. And now they have many times that because these benefits were given to anybody that asked and they're up to I hear many just many times 47 billion. Uh so it wasn't the purpose of SNAP. It was it was for people that really had problems down and out people that really had problems. But during Biden they gave it to anybody that wanted it. I think it's something you have to talk about because the numbers are incredible. But countless public servants are now not being paid and the air traffic control system is under increasing strain. We must get the government back open soon and really immediately. We have to get it up. We have the hottest economy we've ever had and it's affecting the stock market now a little bit. But the stock market as of Friday has hit many record highs during the last nine months. Many. And uh it will again, this is just the beginning because when these plants that are being built right now start opening up. We've never had anything like this as a boom. There's a construction boom right now, but that's going to be bigger than that. That's going to be an economic boom as as soon as they open up and it's going to be something special. We have car companies coming in. Uh when I was in Japan, Toyota, Mr. Toyota, I said, "What's your name?" Toyota. I said, "Oh, you're rich." He said, "How much of the company do you own?" 92.1%. I said, "I'm glad you said the one. He wants to be." I said, "You're a rich guy." And he said, "Uh, I'm investing10 billion dollars in the US." And uh you know who I'm talking about, right? You introduced me, Mr. Senator. Uh you introduced me originally when you were the ambassador to Japan. He's he's still good. He's still strong, but he's he had no interest in investing in this country. Now he's investing 10 billion as of one week ago in building new plants. We have auto plants coming in incredibly. But we have AI and all of them. And uh we can't be extorted to give $1.5 trillion to people that came into the country illegally, many from prisons, many drug dealers. A lot of people came in from mental institutions. Uh they want to give a lot of money to the people that came in illegally. We have to get them out. We can't. No country can sustain that. That's not like an attack on our country and no country. These are not going to be productive people. These are going to be anti-productive people. And we can be all have big hearts. I have a bigger heart than anybody. But we can't let that happen. It's time for Republicans to do what they have to do, and that's terminate the filibuster. It's the only way you can do it. Uh and if you don't terminate the filibuster, you'll be in bad shape. We won't pass any legislation. There'll be no legislation passed for three and a quart. We have three and a quarter years. That's a long time. Uh, but when they can't do an extension, and John, I think they've done an extension every single time they've ever been asked forever. This is the first time they haven't done an extension. Extensions are supposed to be easy. But if they won't do an extension, they won't do any bill, even a simple bill. And we should do our own bills. We should get out. We should do our own bills. We should open up. We We should start tonight with the country is open. Congratulations. Then we should pass uh voter ID. We should pass no mailin voting. We should pass all the things that we want to pass. Make our election secure and safe because California is a disaster. Uh many of the states are disasters. But can you imagine when they vote almost unanimously against voter ID? All we want is voter ID. You go to a grocery store, you have to give ID. You go to a gas station, you give ID. But for voting, they want no voter ID. That's only for one reason because they cheat. We would pass that in 15 minutes. If you don't get it, you'll never pass that. You'll never talk about mail-in ballots. Mail-in ballots make it automatically corrupt. If you have mail-in ballots, automatically it's correct. Even Jimmy Carter, they had the Carter Commission after he got out of office, and he had a group of very distinguished people, Democrats and Republicans, and they passed uh they recommended things take place. It was a long time ago. And they said about mail-in ballots, if there is mail-in ballots, there will definitely be corruption because, you know, they pass through too many hands. I mean, you go in to vote and they want your card. Even me, I went into Palm Beach, you go in to vote, they want your card, you're this, you're that. They say, "I'm sorry to do this, sir, but I have to look at your identification." I said, "That's all right. I I love that." And but, you know, you're really not going to get away with much. It was very, very professional, very good, the way it's supposed to be, but uh these people don't want that. They have legislation in California where it's illegal to ask somebody for voter ID. If you ask somebody for voter ID, if you're an official and you say, "I'd like to see your voter ID." They can arrest you, okay? They can arrest you because they want to cheat and they get away with it. And the Republicans let them get away with it. And we won't do that if we have the filibuster. So, I'm just going to we're going to talk about that a little bit. And we're going to see if we can sway because I know we have a lot of uh not a lot. I'd say half feel this way. Maybe a little bit less than half. and it's time to have a really good talk. Um, if I thought that they weren't going to pass the filibuster, I wouldn't even bring it up. They're going to pass it within the first hour. If they take power, and it's more likely that they take power if we don't do because we're not going to be passing any legislation. They're going to approve anything. We're going to go three and a quarter years. There won't be one bill that we're going to pass because the easiest thing to pass is exactly right now what they won't pass. And they'll do that and they'll wreak havoc. But let's assume they get in. They're doing it anyway, so it wouldn't matter. They're doing it anyway. And you know, I have a case where I have great US attorneys that can't be approved because of the blue slips. The blue slips, I think you should terminate blue slips, too. It's a mental termination because it's really a custom. But if you have a Democrat senator or two, two is bad, but it doesn't make any difference. If you have one senator writes a negative letter on some great US attorney, we had it in Manhattan Southern District. Jay Clayton, one of the most respected lawyers in the whole country by far. One of the most respected and uh couldn't get approved. The courts approved him. The courts couldn't believe it. They did it like instantly. He went to the best schools, got the best marks, top of his class, everything was perfect. I mean, he was like led the perfect life. went to Sullivan and Cromwell almost immediately became the head of Sullivan and Cromwell you know the most uh prestigious law firm I would say in the country just about whether it's Sullivan or two or three I could name but Sullivan I would say really maybe number one he was the head of Sullivan and Cromwell for like 20 years he went to the SEC was flawless he did it for me he was the SEC chairman he was flawless then he went to uh Apollo where he was the chairman of Apollo and it was flawless. Everything went good. The stock went through the roof and everything. I asked him to go to the Southern District and he said, "I'll do what you'd like to do, sir. This is a very high quality person." But he couldn't get approval from Schumer. Schumer didn't approve him. The best student, the best schools, everything. He's like flawless. And the courts actually said, "You're not approving." Jay Clayton, right, Lindsay? You heard this. The courts actually interceded and they approved him. But that's an unusual guy. We have other people that are really good, but people don't know how good, top students, top colleges, and they're US attorneys, and they won't be approved. They're not going to be approved. We have one in Los Angeles who's phenomenal, but no, the senators, the Democrats are, you know, again, they're kamicazis. Uh the Democrats are not going to approve them. Blue slips are a disaster. So the only people I can get approved are Democrats. I was told that by the Democrats. We'll only approve Democrats. I said, ' Really? Is that right? Not going to work that way. Not going to work that way with me. But the blue slips are a total disaster. Uh we will I have 10 people right now that will not be that are doing a phenomenal job and they will be out of office pretty soon. They've got another two, three weeks, a couple of them, and then they're going to have to leave. And uh it it's actually a blight on their record because you know nobody knows why they live. But it looks like they served eight weeks and then they had to leave. But they're not going to get the approval because the Democrat radical left lunatic senators are saying you can't you we're not going to approve you. And if we're not going to approve you, I had actually one Republican who got two great letters, but it turned out that he was a rhino, but that was a nice term for him. Now, he got two letters of approval. And when I said two Democrats approved him, I had to fire him because I figured if two Democrats approved him, they wrote the most beautiful letters. I found out, man, this is strange. And he was no good. I fired him. I He was He was really not much of a Republican. The recommendation of that one wasn't such a good recommendation. Someday I'll tell you who recommended him, but it wasn't exactly the best. But when I saw two, you know, when I when I saw the two senators from Virginia gave him glowing marks, Tim, I said, "Let me see this." I read the most beautiful letters I've ever seen. I said, "Uh, I called him up. I said, "Sorry, you're fired. Get the hell out of here." And but it's it's a horrible thing. Blue slips is a horrible thing because I have the right to pick judges and I have the right to pick US attorneys and this takes away the right from me. And I think we're going to go to court on it. And you know, we'll see what happens in court, but it it gives the president, it takes away the right of the president to pick people to serve on the court and to serve as US attorneys, which is very important. But the biggest thing is the filibuster. Uh we have to get the country going. We will pass legislation at levels you've never seen before, and it'll be impossible to beat us. By the way, if they do, they they're going to do it anyway. And they are going to immediately do the filibuster. And when they do the filibuster, they're going to pack the court. They want five, at least five justice. Now they I hear it's up to five. I actually heard up to seven and up to nine. Okay? They want new judges. They want to pack the court. And they will do it in first day. Maybe the week. Maybe they'll slow it down because there's no reason to rush, but they'll do it first week. They'll vote on this. And I have friends over there that are Democrats. Very I'm close to a lot of people. And I asked him about that because some people say, "Well, maybe they won't do that." I mean, they destroyed the career of Mansion and Cinema and they got them out. They were the only objectors. Nobody else is going to object. They're going to do it the first day. They're going to pack the court. They're going to make DC a state and they're going to make Puerto Rico a state. So now they pick up two states. They pick up four senators. Okay. You think you have problems? They're going to do all of the things. They're going to pick up electoral votes. It's going to be a very very bad situation. And it's done. It's done. As soon as they attain power now, if we do what I'm saying, you they'll never they'll most likely never attain power because we will have passed every single thing that you can imagine that it's good and all good for the country and there'll be no reason to. If we don't do that, uh people will say they're not doing much and they're in power. So, the good news is we did the great big beautiful bill and it's the greatest thing we could have done. And the smartest thing with John and and uh our speaker of the house who's so good, Mike Mike Johnson, uh we did all in one bill. If we didn't, John, it would be a problem because, you know, we would have gotten a small piece passed. A lot of people wanted to do that. A lot of people in the room wanted to do that. They went along with me and John and everybody and we we got this thing passed. Honestly, it's four years worth of goodies and no tax on tips, no tax on social security, no tax on, think of it, no tax on overtime. It's an unbelievable tax cut for the workers and for business where business is going to create jobs and we are. We're creating jobs at levels that nobody's ever seen before. All these things are good. We have to be able to get the word out. If we don't get the word out, we're making a very big mistake. So, I have this long, beautiful, and very boring speech. I won't bother reading it. But uh because we can just start talking and uh I think it's very important we have to get the country open and the way we're going to do it this afternoon is to uh terminate the filibuster and it's possible you're not going to do that and I'm going to go by your wishes. You're very smart people. We're good friends. But I think it's a tremendous mistake. Really, it would be a tragic mistake actually. Uh it's time. It's time. If I thought they weren't going to approve, I'd sort of be with you. I'd be fine. I'd be neutral to with you. But knowing that they're going to pass it as soon as they get any semblance of control, they'll pass it first thing. Then it's like we have to do it first. And we have two years and we we'll end up with two, three years and we'll have this country so perfect. We will have passed more legislation than any Congress and any sen group of senators or group of congressmen and uh we will get it through. They'll send it to us, we'll send it to them. It'll be a beautiful machine. Uh otherwise, we're just going to sit around and argue with these people all day long and and they're highly unrealistic, highly unrealistic. Many of them are radical uh subversives, frankly. So, I want to thank everybody and we're going to talk and I want to thank the press for treating us so really well for that foreign trip. It was an amazing We had a just an amazing meeting. Don't forget uh two months ago it looked like the whole world was in trouble over rare earth and that's no longer even a subject of people talk about. It was all worked out very quickly. Without tariffs I couldn't have done it. I I put a 100% tariff on China. As soon as I heard it within 20 minutes I put a 100% tariff on China on President Xi who's really a friend of mine as much as he can be a friend. He's a tough man. He's a tough man. Smart man actually. very smart. The press doesn't like it when I call them very smart. You know, they think I'm not supposed to call them smart, but he leads 1.4 billion people without question. In fact, during the meeting, we were there and couple of you were there and some of you saw it. So, he's here and he's got about six people on each side. And every one of those people were standing like this. They were in attention. And I made a comment to one of them and they got no response. I said, "Are you going to answer me?" He got no response and president she didn't let him have any. So there's any question I said I want my cabinet to behave like that. That's the way I'm demanding that my I want them sitting up like that Tim just nice and straight. I never saw posture like that. I've never seen men so scared in their lives. They have the equivalent the equivalent of a vice president. He he was I said are you going to answer my question? And he's like he doesn't move. I said what's wrong with this guy? I will answer all questions. Why don't you behave like that? J D doesn't behave like that. J D buds into conversations. What's I want to have I want to have that for at least a couple of days. Okay, JD, we'll keep you long term, but a couple of days of that would a couple of days of that would be very very nice. Okay, I want to thank you and we'll talk a little bit and uh I see they set me up with a podium. I thought I'd just be sitting, but it's probably easier. I want to thank you all very much. Thank you to the press and you can go and we'll speak to you later. Thank you. I'm going to Miami to make a speech today at a big group and uh we have a nice big crowd and we'll see you there. A lot of you are traveling down with me. Thank you very much.
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: XOM - 正面

  • 理由:ExxonMobil在特朗普談話中受惠於持續的能源需求增長和政策支持,尤其製造業回流和豐田10億美元投資確認能源需求穩健。XOM近期股價穩健,與油價和宏觀經濟條件相符,提供防守性與成長潛力。
  • 信心水平:高
  • 關鍵風險:油價短期波動、地緣政治緊張與能源政策變化的影響。
  • 預期時間:中期(1-4週)

Top 2: CAT - 正面

  • 理由:特朗普明確強調基建繁榮及經濟擴張,CAT作為重型設備製造龍頭直接受惠,股價近期大幅上升超過3%,市場對基建需求持續看好。政治不確定性雖存,但基建投資回暖是大趨勢。
  • 信心水平:中高
  • 關鍵風險:政治僵局導致基建政策實施延遲及宏觀經濟波動。
  • 預期時間:短期(1-3天)

Top 3: TGT - 正面

  • 理由:Target因成本下降及消費者負擔能力提升,股價有明顯反彈動能,符合特朗普所述經濟繁榮與負擔能力政策。短期內消費回暖可望延續,適合趨勢交易。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 關鍵風險:消費支出波動及通脹反覆影響消費信心。
  • 預期時間:短期(1-2週)

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: XOM 上行 $115 exp 2026-01-31

  • 理由:能源需求穩定且政策支持明顯,認購期權放大中期收益潛力。行使價115美元合理,時間充分捕捉油價及股價上漲。
  • 信心水平:中高
  • 關鍵風險:油價劇烈波動與時間價值流失風險。

Top 2: CAT 上行 $580 exp 2025-12-31

  • 理由:基建需求推動製造業股價上升,CAT期權適合捕捉短中期反彈,行使價580美元具合理上升空間。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 關鍵風險:基建政策落地延遲及宏觀經濟波動。

Top 3: TGT 上行 $90 exp 2026-01-31

  • 理由:消費回暖短期明顯,認購期權適合捕捉股價反彈行情,1月到期時間充裕。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 關鍵風險**:消費市場波動及季節性影響。

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體市場觀察優先度:

呢單特朗普講話核心重點係政府停擺政治僵局同時強調經濟繁榮與基建熱潮,佢話豐田投資同製造業回流,仲有能源需求穩定,呢啲係最有料嘅市場催化劑。XOM能源股穩健做底,CAT基建股因應大規模經濟擴張有強勁反彈,TGT則係消費負擔能力改善嘅短線贏家。三隻標的形成一個穩健嘅「能源+基建+消費」組合,適合現階段風險偏好中等嘅投資者。


整體信心水平:

XOM信心水平最高,屬高信心級別,CAT中高,TGT中等。期權策略配合現貨,利用認購期權在控制風險同時擴大利潤,信心屬中高級別。


關鍵風險須監控:

  • 政治僵局持續,特別是政府停擺及filibuster爭議,可能拖慢政策推進,造成市場短期波動。
  • 油價波動與國際地緣政治風險,是能源股最大不確定因素。
  • 消費市場受通脹及經濟基本面影響波動,需密切關注消費數據。
  • 基建政策若因政治阻力延遲,將影響CAT等製造業股表現。

市場展望:

你知唔知,特朗普呢次直播講話就好似一場大戲,政治上扯來扯去,但背後經濟訊號就真係有料到。政府停擺拖咗好耐,市場都係等住睇有冇轉機,特朗普講到基建熱潮同能源需求,好似話「我哋經濟火熱緊」,令投資者信心回升。XOM同CAT就係今波最大受惠者,尤其豐田大投資添埋呢啲,都係真金白銀嘅入場券。消費股短期回暖,Target反彈勁,唔使睇少。政治風險雖然仍喺度,但呢啲震盪反而係高手入場嘅好機會,唔好驚短期波動,穩紮穩打,撐住能源同基建,配合消費股短線爆發,做精選,呢啲就係今期最實用嘅秘密武器。江山易改,本性難移,政策支持嘅板塊仍然值得長期留意,今次要識揀,唔好邊隻都撈,精挑細選先係王道。記住,市場無捷徑,穩健先係贏家!

分析日期: 2025-11-06 01:50:15
現在日期:

Stock 股票

XOM
正面

Options 期權

XOM
上行
最佳時機
目標: $120
2026
Pass Voter Reform, Voter ID, No Mail-In Ballots. Save our Supreme Court from “Packing,” No Two State addition, etc. TERMINATE THE FILIBUSTER!!!
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: XOM - 正面

  • 理由:特朗普呼籲強化選民身份驗證及廢除阻撓議事制度,政治環境有利能源政策快速推動,ExxonMobil憑藉穩健的盈利能力和油價中高位支撐,成為穩健防守標的。近期股價穩步上升,市場信心回暖,符合中期(1-4週)持續增長預期。
  • 信心水平:高
  • 主要風險:油價波動劇烈、地緣政治風險、政策執行不及預期

Top 2: CAT - 正面

  • 理由:基建投資受特朗普政策及經濟恢復推動,CAT作為重型設備龍頭直接受惠。近期股價強勢反彈3%以上,顯示市場對基建需求的肯定,短期(1-3天)內仍有較強上漲動能。
  • 信心水平:中高
  • 主要風險:宏觀經濟波動、政策落地延遲

Top 3: TGT - 正面

  • 理由:消費者信心回升及成本下降帶動Target股價短線反彈,政策支持消費負擔能力,短期(1-2週)內有明顯交易機會,適合捕捉快速反彈。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 主要風險:消費市場波動、通脹反覆影響消費支出

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: XOM 上行 $120 exp 2026-01-31

  • 理由:能源政策推動持續,油價維持中高位,認購期權可放大中期股價上漲收益,行使價合理,適合1-3個月中期操作。
  • 信心水平:中高
  • 主要風險:油價波動、時間價值減損

Top 2: CAT 上行 $580 exp 2025-12-31

  • 理由:基建需求強勁,CAT股價短期反彈動能強,認購期權適合捕捉年底前上漲空間,風險可控。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 主要風險:宏觀經濟變化、政策執行風險

Top 3: TGT 上行 $90 exp 2026-01-31**

  • 理由:受惠成本下降和消費回暖,Target短期反彈強勁,認購期權適合參與短線行情,具備較好風險回報比。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 主要風險:消費者信心波動、季節性因素

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體市場觀察優先度:

以ExxonMobil(XOM)為核心,結合基建製造業龍頭CAT和消費反彈強勁的Target,形成「能源+基建+消費」多元布局。三者均受政策支持及基本面改善推動,分別適合中期至短期操作。期權策略聚焦於這三隻標的,利用合理行使價與到期日放大收益,風險相對可控。


整體信心水平:

XOM屬高信心級別,CAT及TGT則屬中高及中等信心。期權建議信心穩健,兼顧收益與風險平衡。


關鍵風險須監控:

  • 油價及地緣政治波動仍為最大不確定因素,可能影響XOM及能源板塊表現。
  • 政治改革及基建政策執行進度不明,可能拖累CAT與消費市場情緒。
  • 消費者信心及通脹波動對TGT短期表現具挑戰,需密切關注數據變化。

市場展望:

你知唔知,特朗普今次又係用政治改革同政策推動嚟影響市場節奏,尤其係能源同基建股攞足戲份,XOM穩穩陣陣做核心,CAT跟住經濟基建熱度走,而Target就係消費回暖嘅短線爆點。政治話題雖然搞到市場有啲波動,但其實正正係高手入場嘅良機,唔好畀短期風浪嚇怕,重點係精選有料到嘅標的,唔好亂咁撈。期權配合使用,可以喺波動中放大收益,好似飲杯靚茶咁慢慢享受行情。江山易改,本性難移,能源同基建依然係政策核心,今次想贏就要穩紮穩打,唔好做蛇王,等轉眼捉住機會先係贏家。

分析日期: 2025-11-04 01:23:42
現在日期:

Stock 股票

XOM
正面

Options 期權

XOM
上行
最佳時機
目標: $120
2026
Congressman Mike Carey is a Fantastic Advocate for Ohio’s 15th Congressional District! As a Member of the POWERFUL House Ways & Means Committee, Mike understands the America First Policies required to Create GREAT Jobs, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Unleash American Energy DOMINANCE, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., and Champion our Nation’s Golden Age. A Brave U.S. Army Veteran, Mike knows the Wisdom and Courage required to Defend our Country, Support our Military/Veterans, and Ensure PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH. He is also working hard to Keep our now very Secure Border, SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, and Protect our always under siege Second Amendment. Mike Carey has my Complete and Total Endorsement for Re-Election — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN!
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: XOM - 正面

  • 理由: Mike Carey作為眾議院籌款委員會成員,獲特朗普強力支持推動「美國優先」能源自主政策,終止清潔能源抵免,傳統能源公司如ExxonMobil受益顯著。XOM股價穩健且估值合理,油價提供強勁支撐,短中期展望樂觀。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 能源價格波動、地緣政治緊張影響油市、政策推行速度不及預期

Top 2: RTX - 正面

  • 理由: 邊境安全和國防支出納入共和黨優先議程,RTX作為主要國防承包商直接受惠。政府停擺預計結束後,國防預算有望回升,訂單穩定,股價具支撐。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 國防預算可能因政治僵局拖延,地緣政治突發事件引發不確定性

Top 3: FTNT - 正面

  • 理由: 推動強硬邊境安全及選民身份驗證政策,加強網絡安全需求,Fortinet作為網絡安全領域領導企業,受政策催化具成長潛力。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 科技股波動大、政策執行延遲、宏觀經濟不穩定影響企業IT支出

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: XOM 上行 $120 exp 2026-01-31

  • 理由: 傳統能源政策支持持續推動油價及股價走升,XOM看漲期權有利捕捉短中期股價突破。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 能源市場波動及政策變數可能影響期權表現

Top 2: RTX 上行 $185 exp 2026-01-31

  • 理由: 國防支出預期回升,RTX期權適合捕捉政策利好帶來的股價上漲空間。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 政治僵局及國防預算執行不確定性

Top 3: FTNT 上行 $90 exp 2026-01-31**

  • 理由: 網絡安全需求增長驅動股價上行,期權配置可擴大收益潛力。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 科技股波動及政策推進速度不確定

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體市場觀察優先度:

此次分析明顯聚焦於Mike Carey獲特朗普支持下的「美國優先」政策推進,能源、國防和安全板塊為最大受惠者。ExxonMobil(XOM)因能源政策轉向傳統能源且油價支撐,成為核心首選。雷神(RTX)和Fortinet(FTNT)則分別受益於國防和安全政策推動,屬中高信心增長股。


整體信心水平:

以XOM為首的能源板塊信心最高,政策利好明顯且實際推進中。RTX與FTNT受益政策較為明確,但仍需關注市場與政治波動,信心屬中等水平。


關鍵風險須監控:

  • 美國國內政治僵局和政策推進速度,尤其眾議院籌款委員會相關立法是否順利落實。
  • 能源價格波動及國際地緣政治風險,可能帶來短期價格震盪。
  • 科技安全板塊受宏觀經濟及IT支出影響較大,政策執行不及預期亦是風險。
  • 政府停擺與SNAP福利危機對消費零售板塊短期負面影響,但本次貼文重點集中於能源與安全政策,故消費股不列為本輪首選。

市場展望:

短期政治不確定性仍存,但共和黨鞏固內部支持、推動能源自主與國防安全政策,為相關板塊注入穩定增長動能。投資者應把握XOM、RTX及FTNT的政策催化機會,搭配看漲期權策略,靈活擴大利潤潛力並控制風險。政治與經濟局勢隨時變化,持續關注立法進展及市場反應為關鍵。


呢單嘢真係唔講得笑,政策大方向已定,大家不妨趁機密切留意入場時機,搶佔能源與安全板塊先機!

分析日期: 2025-11-04 01:19:08
現在日期:

Stock 股票

XOM
正面

Options 期權

XOM
上行
最佳時機
目標: $120
2026
TERMINATE THE FILIBUSTER, NOT JUST FOR THE SHUTDOWN, BUT FOR EVERYTHING ELSE. WE WILL GET ALL OF OUR COMMON SENSE POLICIES APPROVED (VOTER ID, ANYONE?) AND MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! REMEMBER, THE DEMOCRATS WILL DO IT IMMEDIATELY, AS SOON AS THEY GET THE CHANCE. OUR DOING IT WILL NOT GIVE THEM THE CHANCE. REPUBLICANS, BE TOUGH AND SMART! THE DEMS ARE CRAZED LUNATICS, THEY WILL NOT OPEN UP OUR COUNTRY NO MATTER HOW MANY PEOPLE ARE IRREPARABLY HARMED!
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: XOM - 正面

  • 理由: 美國共和黨強推終止阻撓議事制度,加速能源主導政策落地,ExxonMobil受政策及油價支持,有穩定增長潛力。Mike Carey支持能源獨立政策,令XOM具長線防守優勢。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 能源價格波動、政策推行不及預期、地緣政治緊張影響油市

Top 2: RTX - 正面

  • 理由: 共和黨強硬邊境及國防政策推動國防開支增加,RTX作為主要承包商受益明顯。政府停擺結束後國防預算有望回升,政策環境利好國防板塊。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 政治僵局拖延國防預算,全球軍事衝突升溫帶來不確定性

Top 3: FTNT - 正面

  • 理由: 選民身份驗證及安全政策強化,Fortinet在網絡安全領域處於領先地位,有望受益政府及企業安全需求持續上升。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 科技股波動、政策執行滯後、整體經濟不穩定影響企業IT支出

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: XOM 上行 $120 exp 2026-01-31

  • 理由: 能源政策加速推進,油價具支撐,XOM股價短中期看漲,CALL期權能放大收益並控制風險。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 能源市場波動、政策變動風險

Top 2: RTX 上行 $185 exp 2026-01-31

  • 理由: 國防預算增加預期支持RTX股價上行,CALL期權適合捕捉政策利好帶來的價格突破。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 政治不確定性和國防預算執行風險

Top 3: FTNT 上行 $90 exp 2026-01-31**

  • 理由: 安全政策推動強勁,FTNT股價有望突破阻力位,看漲期權適合積極布局。
  • 信心水平:
  • 主要風險: 科技股市場波動,政策推進速度不及預期

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體市場觀察優先度:

本輪最強勢佈局首選ExxonMobil(XOM),因其能源政策催化和油價支撐,具備高信心買入價值。其次為雷神(RTX)和Fortinet(FTNT),分別受益於國防及安全政策推動,具中等信心。三者形成政策受惠核心板塊,布局價值明顯。


整體信心水平:

整體維持中高,XOM信心最高,RTX及FTNT因政治及市場波動風險稍低於XOM,但均為政策明確支持且具增長潛力的標的。


關鍵風險須監控:

  • 政治僵局與共和黨內部意見分歧,可能拖慢阻撓議事終止及政策推行節奏。
  • 能源價格及地緣政治緊張可能帶來波動。
  • 科技安全板塊受宏觀經濟及市場情緒影響較大。
  • 國防預算執行進度不明,需留意政府決策動向。

市場展望:

特朗普呼籲終止阻撓議事制度,市場短期或見政治風險增加,但長遠看政策推動力度加強,能源、國防及安全監控板塊將成為資金追捧焦點。 值得留意積極布局XOM、RTX及FTNT股票,並配合相應看漲期權策略,靈活控制風險、擴大利潤。政治節奏與政策進展將是未來關鍵,務必密切關注局勢變化。


呢單嘢真係唔講得笑,大家準備好迎接政策大變局帶來的市場機會啦!

分析日期: 2025-11-01 21:08:31
現在日期:

Stock 股票

Options 期權

WMT
下行
最佳時機
目標: $95
2026
Our Government lawyers do not think we have the legal authority to pay SNAP with certain monies we have available, and now two Courts have issued conflicting opinions on what we can and cannot do. I do NOT want Americans to go hungry just because the Radical Democrats refuse to do the right thing and REOPEN THE GOVERNMENT. Therefore, I have instructed our lawyers to ask the Court to clarify how we can legally fund SNAP as soon as possible. It is already delayed enough due to the Democrats keeping the Government closed through the monthly payment date and, even if we get immediate guidance, it will unfortunately be delayed while States get the money out. If we are given the appropriate legal direction by the Court, it will BE MY HONOR to provide the funding, just like I did with Military and Law Enforcement Pay. The Democrats should quit this charade where they hurt people for their own political reasons, and immediately REOPEN THE GOVERNMENT. If you use SNAP benefits, call the Senate Democrats, and tell them to reopen the Government, NOW! Here is Cryin’ Chuck Schumer’s Office Number: (202) 224-6542
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: WMT (Walmart)

  • 理由:SNAP糧食券支付因政府停擺及法律爭議導致延遲,Walmart作為SNAP最大零售商,短期收入和銷售受壓。政治僵局持續,加大消費者購買力不確定性,股價面臨下行風險。
  • 信心水平:高
  • 主要風險:法院迅速裁定支持支付,政府重啟及SNAP資金恢復,可能快速緩解壓力。

Top 2: KR (Kroger)

  • 理由:同樣受SNAP福利中斷影響,雖規模較WMT小但仍有明顯收入風險。政治僵局難短期解決,拖累銷售和股價。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 主要風險:政府停擺結束及法律爭議解決。

Top 3: PASS - 無其他強烈股票推薦

  • 理由:雖有其他相關零售商或防衛類股,但短期SNAP支付問題影響最大集中於WMT及KR,國防及其他板塊暫無明顯利好。

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: WMT 下行 $95 exp 2026-01-31

  • 理由:短期因SNAP支付法律爭議及政府停擺,WMT股價承壓,看跌期權適合避險及投機。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 主要風險:政治及法律局勢快速解決導致股價反彈。

Top 2: KR 下行 $60 exp 2026-01-31

  • 理由:Kroger同樣面臨SNAP支付中斷風險,PUT期權可捕捉股價回調機會或作風險對沖。
  • 信心水平:中
  • 主要風險:同上。

Top 3: PASS - 無其他強烈期權機會

  • 理由:短期政治風險主要集中於食品零售業,其他板塊期權風險較大,無明顯高信心操作。

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體而言,特朗普最新發文重申政府停擺及SNAP福利支付的法律爭議,短期將直接抑制依賴政府補助的消費者購買力,導致Walmart及Kroger等大型食品零售商面臨顯著收入下滑壓力。政治僵局令政府停擺延長,短期內SNAP資金不確定性加劇消費市場波動, 值得留意投資者減持相關零售股並利用看跌期權做風險管理或投機。


本輪政治與法律風險是市場主要不確定因素,若法院快速澄清法律地位並重啟政府,市場恐慌將迅速緩解,股價有回升可能。投資者應密切關注法院判決和政府重啟進展。


市場前景短期偏向保守,消費板塊受壓明顯, 值得留意採取防守策略,重點控制風險,等待政策明朗化後再行部署。

分析日期: 2025-10-31 22:38:48
現在日期:

Stock 股票

Options 期權

AXON
上行
最佳時機
目標: $800
Feb
I just got back from Asia where I met the Leaders of many Countries, including China, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Singapore, Thailand, Cambodia, Vietnam, and others. It was a Great Honor to meet them but, more particularly, to see that America is respected again — RESPECTED LIKE NEVER BEFORE! Great Trade Deals were made, Long Term relationships now exist, and money is pouring into our Country because of Tariffs and, frankly, the Landslide Results of the 2024 Presidential Election. The one question that kept coming up, however, was how did the Democrats SHUT DOWN the United States of America, and why did the powerful Republicans allow them to do it? The fact is, in flying back, I thought a great deal about that question, WHY? Majority Leader John Thune, and Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, are doing a GREAT job, but the Democrats are Crazed Lunatics that have lost all sense of WISDOM and REALITY. It is a sick form of the now “legendary” Trump Derangement Syndrome (TDS) that only comes from losing too much. They want Trillions of Dollars to be taken from our Healthcare System and given to others, who are not deserving — People who have come into our Country illegally, many from prisons and mental institutions. This will hurt American citizens, and Republicans will not let it happen. It is now time for the Republicans to play their “TRUMP CARD,” and go for what is called the Nuclear Option — Get rid of the Filibuster, and get rid of it, NOW! Just a short while ago, the Democrats, while in power, fought for three years to do this, but were unable to pull it off because of Senators Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona. Never have the Democrats fought so hard to do something because they knew the tremendous strength that terminating the Filibuster would give them. They want to substantially expand (PACK!) the United States Supreme Court, make Washington, D.C. and Puerto Rico States (Thereby automatically picking up 4 Senate seats, many House seats, and at least 8 Electoral Votes!), and many other highly destructive things. Well, now WE are in power, and if we did what we should be doing, it would IMMEDIATELY end this ridiculous, Country destroying “SHUT DOWN.” If the Democrats ever came back into power, which would be made easier for them if the Republicans are not using the Great Strength and Policies made available to us by ending the Filibuster, the Democrats will exercise their rights, and it will be done in the first day they take office, regardless of whether or not we do it. In addition to all of the other things we would get, such as the best Judges, the best U.S. Attorneys, the best of everything, this was a concept from years ago of then President Barack Hussein Obama and former Majority Leader Harry Reid in order to take advantage of the Republicans. Now I want to do it in order to take advantage of the Democrats….
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

Top 1: XOM (ExxonMobil)

  • Reasoning: 兩位分析師一致認同XOM因特朗普與中國及其他亞洲國家達成能源出口協議而受惠。中國大規模購買阿拉斯加油氣及美國能源出口需求提升,有助XOM長期增長。關稅政策及國內能源需求也支持該股。股價穩健且估值合理。
  • Confidence: 高
  • Key Risks: 能源價格波動、全球經濟放緩、貿易協議執行不及預期、地緣政治緊張。

Top 2: SOYB (大豆ETF)

  • Reasoning: DeepSeek強調中國大規模恢復購買美國農產品(大豆、高粱等),形成實質需求利好;OpenAI也指出農業板塊受益。SOYB作為大豆期貨ETF,直接反映農業需求改善,具備較高成長潛力。
  • Confidence: 高
  • Key Risks: 貿易談判政策變化、天氣及自然災害、全球經濟放緩影響農產品需求。

Top 3: FTNT (Fortinet)

  • Reasoning: 兩位分析師均看好Fortinet受特朗普推動「Make D.C. Safe Task Force」及全國執法安全強化政策帶動網絡安全需求增長。FTNT技術領先,與政府及執法機構合約穩定,估值合理,具短中期成長潛力。
  • Confidence: 高
  • Key Risks: 科技股整體估值波動、政策落實速度、宏觀經濟風險。

📊 期權市場動態

Top 1: AXON 上行 $800 exp Feb-Mar 2026

  • Reasoning: DeepSeek建議AXON受益於執法記錄儀及雲端服務壟斷地位,政府合約穩定增長,且執法隊伍擴編帶動需求爆發,期權槓桿效應明顯。OpenAI雖未推薦AXON,但其分析亦支持執法科技板塊。此期權到期日為未來日期,合規有效。
  • Confidence: 高
  • Key Risks: 政策執行不及預期、股價波動劇烈、政府預算調整。

Top 2: FTNT 上行 $90 exp Jan 2026 (or within 3 months)

  • Reasoning: 兩位分析均看好FTNT因政策及政府安全需求提升,股價有短中期上升空間。期權到期日均在未來三個月內,有效且風險可控。
  • Confidence: 中
  • Key Risks: 科技股波動、宏觀經濟不確定性、政策實施節奏。

Top 3: PLTR 下行 $180 exp Feb 2026


  • Confidence: 中
  • Key Risks: 技術推動股價反彈、短期波動性。

🎯 市場觀察總結

整體而言,特朗普近期亞洲外交與國內執法政策推動形成兩大明顯投資主題:一是美中及亞太貿易合作恢復,尤其農產品(SOYB)及能源(XOM)出口協議,帶來實質需求增長及利好;二是美國國內安全政策強化,成立「Make D.C. Safe Task Force」及大幅增配執法力量,推動執法科技(AXON)、網絡安全(FTNT)及國防安全領域增長。


兩位AI分析師在此兩主題上高度一致,且均給出具體標的及合理的市場研究支持。考慮到當前政治風險(政府停擺、核選項辯論)、宏觀經濟不確定性及市場波動,建議採取較為保守且分散的投資策略:


  • 重點買入XOM、SOYB及FTNT,這三隻股票涵蓋能源、農業及安全科技,分散行業風險且基本面穩健。
  • 期權方面, 市場值得留意AXON CALL期權作為執法科技板塊槓桿增長工具,搭配FTNT CALL增強安全科技板塊收益,並利用PLTR PUT作為高估值風險對沖。
  • 不建議加碼估值過高或流動性不足標的(如PLTR股票本身及TLEO),亦不推薦高波動性或執行風險過大的期權。

關鍵風險監控包括:

  • 政府政策推行速度及預算變化(特別是執法擴編及貿易協議執行情況)
  • 全球經濟放緩及地緣政治衝突對市場信心的影響
  • 科技股估值調整及市場波動對期權策略的影響

市場前景短中期偏向樂觀,因外交和國內政策均釋出積極信號,但仍需密切留意政治及宏觀經濟風險。


總括:建議以【買入 XOM、SOYB、FTNT】為核心股票配置,配合【AXON CALL、FTNT CALL、PLTR PUT】期權策略,謹慎把握政策驅動下的成長機會與風險管理。

分析日期: 2025-10-31 02:49:05
現在日期:

Stock 股票

Options 期權

For all Great Law Enforcement Patriots who would like to join the World’s Premier Law Enforcement Task Force, where Police Officers are fully allowed and empowered to do their job and battle crime, apply today to join the Make D.C. Safe Task Force! You will be at the cutting edge of defending our Nation’s Capital City from all dangers and threats, and will be able to join the elite Agency of your choice. If you have strong experience, you can begin on the Task Force, IMMEDIATELY! https://safedc.gov/
你怎麼看這次的股票市場觀察?
你怎麼看這次的期權市場動態?

📈 股票觀察重點

1. AXON

  • 動作:買入 (BUY)
  • 理由:Axon在執法記錄儀和雲端服務領域具壟斷地位,AI技術領先,政府合約穩定成長,直接受惠於「Make D.C. Safe Task Force」的擴編與執法科技需求爆發。
  • 信心水平:高
  • 風險:政府預算調整、科技股整體估值波動、市場競爭加劇。

2. RTX (Raytheon Technologies)

  • 動作:買入 (BUY)
  • 理由:擁有500億美元長期合約,收入穩定,國防及安全領域實力雄厚,雖非本地執法直接產業,但隨聯邦安全預算增加整體受益。估值相對合理,風險較低。
  • 信心水平:高
  • 風險:國防預算不確定性、地緣政治變動、長線合約執行風險。

3. FTNT (Fortinet)

  • 動作:買入 (BUY)
  • 理由:網絡安全領頭羊,產品線與聯邦及地方執法需求高度吻合,政策推動下需求穩步增長,估值合理,短中期趨勢穩健。
  • 信心水平:高
  • 風險:宏觀經濟波動、科技估值調整、政策執行節奏不及預期。

📊 期權市場動態

1. AXON CALL

  • 標的:AXON
  • 類型:CALL
  • 理由:執法科技需求爆發性增長,有望推動股價突破,期權槓桿效應顯著。
  • 行使價及到期:$800 左右,2025年2-3月到期
  • 信心水平:高
  • 風險:股價波動加劇、政策執行延遲。

2. FTNT CALL

  • 標的:Fortinet (FTNT)
  • 類型:CALL
  • 理由:政府安全合約增加,短中期股價有反彈機會,期權適合捕捉漲幅。
  • 行使價:$90,3個月內到期
  • 信心水平:中
  • 風險:科技股估值波動、政策落實進度。

3. PLTR PUT(對沖用)

  • 標的:Palantir (PLTR)
  • 類型:PUT
  • 理由:估值極高(市盈率779倍),內部人士大量套現,適合用作風險對沖工具。
  • 行使價:約$180,到期2025年2月
  • 信心水平:中
  • 風險:技術推動股價反彈可能、短期波動。

🎯 市場觀察總結

總結而言,特朗普推動的「Make D.C. Safe Task Force」反映美國政府對華盛頓特區及執法安全的高度重視,將帶動執法科技、防護裝備及國防安全領域大幅需求增長。OpenAI與DeepSeek兩方分析均指向執法科技與網絡安全板塊的長期利好,但DeepSeek擴展視角納入國防承包商及裝備供應商,令投資機會更為多元。


綜合考慮,優先推薦 AXON、RTX 與 FTNT 三隻股票,因其基本面穩健、合約穩定且技術領先,且三者涵蓋執法科技、國防安全及網絡安全三大關鍵領域,風險分散且成長潛力明確。期權策略則以 AXON CALL 為主力,輔以 FTNT CALL 把握中短期政策利好,及 PLTR PUT 以控制高估值風險。


建議優先配置 AXON 與 RTX 股票,搭配 AXON CALL 期權,強化風險管理及收益槓桿。FTNT 為必備核心持倉,期權可視風險承受度適度配置。


關鍵風險需密切監控:

  • 政府政策推行速度與預算變化
  • 宏觀經濟與科技股估值波動
  • 國防及安全合約執行風險
  • 個別公司估值與市場情緒波動

整體對美國執法安全相關板塊持樂觀態度, 值得留意投資者根據風險承受力作穩健配置,重點布局高信心標的,謹慎利用期權工具。




**

Stock 股票

NIL

Options 期權

NIL
I had a truly great meeting with President Xi of China. There is enormous respect between our two Countries, and that will only be enhanced with what just took place. We agreed on many things, with others, even of high importance, being very close to resolved. I was extremely honored by the fact that President Xi authorized China to begin the purchase of massive amounts of Soybeans, Sorghum, and other Farm products. Our Farmers will be very happy! In fact, as I said once before during my first Administration, Farmers should immediately go out and buy more land and larger tractors. I would like to thank President Xi for this! Additionally, China has agreed to continue the flow of Rare Earth, Critical Minerals, Magnets, etc., openly and freely. Very significantly, China has strongly stated that they will work diligently with us to stop the flow of Fentanyl into our Country. They will help us end the Fentanyl Crisis. China also agreed that they will begin the process of purchasing American Energy. In fact, a very large scale transaction may take place concerning the purchase of Oil and Gas from the Great State of Alaska. Chris Wright, Doug Burgum, and our respective Energy teams will be meeting to see if such an Energy Deal can be worked out. The agreements reached today will deliver Prosperity and Security to millions of Americans. After this Historic trip to Asia, I am now heading back to Washington, D.C. I want to thank the Great Countries of Malaysia, Japan, and South Korea for being so generous, gracious, and hospitable — Also, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam, who were at the Dinner last night hosted by His Excellency Lee Jae Myung. Hundreds of Billions of Dollars are being brought into our Country because of them. Our Nation is Strong, Respected, and Admired Again and, THE BEST IS YET TO COME
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